Scientists established that the likelihood of an El Niño coming between October and December to occur is between 75% and 80%, reported the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
The possibility of occurring in the third quarter of this year is 60%. "It is expected that the temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean continue to increase in the coming months and reaches its maximum in the last quarter of 2014. Their potential intensity remains uncertain, it is more likely that a moderate event occurs, the agency said UN scientific.
El Niño is associated with droughts and floods at regional level in the world and produces an increase in the average temperature on the surface of the ocean, particularly in the central and eastern tropical Pacific. "It is too early to assess their exact effects in 2014," said the director of WMO, Michel Jarraud.
Organizations that study the event in Ecuador have confirmed that the indicators show that there is a hot phenomenon in development.
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